The White House was optimistic about the prospects of a summit in person with the Chinese president Xi Jinping—The first of the president Donald Trumpthe second term.
However, analysts say that the Chinese chief probably holds for concrete deliverables before accepting the high -level meeting.
All eyes on Sweden
Trump considerably degenerated the trade war with the second world economy in April, deploying new prices that prompted China to respond with its own export tasks and other measures.
While Trump said that “the limits of an agreement “ are in place before a third round of Interviews between us and Chinese negotiatorsSetted for Sweden next week, several litigious problems remain unresolved. These include the American borders underway on the advanced exports of fleas to China and persistent geopolitical friction on influence in Asia and Beijing threats to Taiwan.
Nowsweek Contacted the White House and the Chinese Embassy in the United States by email for comments.
The role of Europe
Patrick Cronin, security president in Asia-Pacific at the Hudson Institute, said Nowsweek: “An X-Trump summit is very likely, but the restraint of the final approval until Beijing can button more information and as many concessions as possible is undoubtedly part of the calculation of XI.”
“What China and the United States can each negotiate with the Ue Will also help to light the Chinese-American negotiation which will be at the heart of any Xi-Trump summit, “said Cronin. After months of effort with dozens of countries, the White House recently concluded a handful of transactions with Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines and Indonesia, added Cronin.
In a combination of images created on May 14, 2020, Chinese President Xi Jinping, on the left, and US President Donald Trump are presented.
And Kitwood, Nicholas Kamm / AFP via Getty Images
Among the agreements that Trump hopes that Trump is with the EU – a traditionally aligned American block which has become increasingly distant by Trump’s unpredictable commercial movements and controversial interior policies.
Analysts say China sought to exploit this flaw And to make a thaw of links with Brussels which has deteriorated on issues such as the so -called Chinese electric vehicle market floods subnterested by the State, concerns about human rights and Beijing support for Russia in the midst of war in Ukraine.
Sean King, a researcher in Asia and the main vice-president of Park Strategies, said Nowsweek: “PRC [People’s Republic of China] Managers have long considered Europe as a relatively easier brand, as the continent does not have the Asian security concerns and obligations in America. “”
He added: “It is probably preferable that Trump first aligns what he says to be commercial agreements with friends and allies before opting for the big with Beijing.”
While the visit of the president of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen in Beijing This week has sold A memorandum of understanding on climate change and an agreement to facilitate exports of the rare land, analysts note that a fundamental change in the links of the EU-Chinese remains elusive.
Chamorable uncertain
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Visiting Malaysia earlier this month for meetings with its Chinese counterpart Wang Yi, said that “the chances are high”, a Trump-Xe will take place by the end of the year.
Rosemary Foot, professor and principal researcher in the Department of Policy and International Relations at the University of Oxford, said NewsweeK It is unlikely that XI is counting on Europe as a lever effect in its relations with the White House.
“I think that is linked to the more general approach of China to the Trump administration which is to wait for an intention to offer a serious deliverable from the meeting and perhaps also painting President Trump as a supplicant,” she said.
Trump and Xi met last time in 2019 at the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan.