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Sustain Donald Trump Among the conservative voters, has experienced a regular drop in the last three months, according to new polls in Yougov / The Economist.
In MayTrump has had a dominant approval rating of 88% among the Conservatives, with only 11% disapproving – a net approval of +77. But this margin has shrunk every month since. By JuneApproval dropped to 83%, disapproval of 15%, which brought back its net note to +68.
The downward trend continued until July, with the conservative approval of Trump falling to 81% and the disapproval of 17% – a note of net approval of only +64, the lowest in months.
Why it matters
Conservative voters have long been the foundation of Donald Trump’s political force – in particular in primaries and states of the battlefield where even small changes can have disproportionate effects. The regular erosion of its approval among the conservatives, as captured by Yougov / The Economist Botling, signals potential cracks in this foundation before the middle of 2026 and beyond.
Julia Demaree Nikhinson / AP
Economic stumps resulting in decline
The survey shows that economic problems are at the heart of the dip. Among the Conservatives, the approval of the management of the economy by Trump was maintained stable at 81% in June and July – down slightly compared to 85% in May. But the perceptions of the place where the economy is managed has darkened. In May, 59% of the Conservatives said that the economy improved, against only 14% who said it would get worse. This optimism fell 50/15 in June and 53/17 in July.
Approval of inflation management by Trump has dropped more strongly. In May, the Conservatives supported his approach with a margin of 84 to 14 years. In June, the support fell at 74/22, and by July 18, it fell to 66/25 – a significant net drop of 29 points in just two months.
The feeling of embithemment occurs while inflation has accessed at the national level: annual inflation increased to 2.7% in June, against 2.4% in May, according to the consumer price index (IPC). Meanwhile, Americans are now faced with an average rate rate of 18.7%, the highest since 1933, according to the Yale Budget LAB – the direct result of the vast pricing policies of Trump.
“Big Beautiful Bill” and Epstein’s fallout add to conservative frustration
Trump’s signature legislative package – known as “Big Beautiful Bill” – also begins to lose ground among the conservatives. In June, 73% of curators supported the bill, while 18% opposed it. Although the majority, this level of support masks discomfort as to its content: criticism argues that the bill favors tax reductions for rich while reducing security nets, such as Medicaid and Snap.
The addition of additional pressure is the backlash surrounding the management by Trump of the Jeffrey Epstein case. Approval between the Conservatives on the issue is only 44%, with 32% disapproach – unusually high for its base. In particular, 55% of curators believe that the government covers evidence in the case, and 77% say that all documents should be released.
Discontent has intensified after a service note of the Ministry of Justice last week confirmed that Epstein died by suicide in 2019 and that the government does not have a “list of customers” – directly contradicting the conspiracy theories promoted by certain figures aligned by Trump. Trump would have unleashed to his own supporters, calling them “weak” for having been “due” by what he called a “hoax” pushed by Democrats. He then fell the comments and directed the Attorney General Bondi To start the process of non-debt of materials from the great jury linked to Epstein.
Immigration is always a very relative point – but slippery
But there is a subject where Trump is doing a little better among the conservatives, the number of the president having seen only a marginal decline since May.
In July, 85% of the Conservatives approved Trump work performance on immigration – down slightly compared to 88% in May and compared to 83% in June, suggesting its aggressive program in the second term, including mass deportation operations, enlarged detention facilities and record passages, continues to resonate with a large part of its base.
Throughout his second mandate, Trump aggressively expanded the application of immigration – launching mass deportation operations, Growing raids in sanctuary citiesand relaunch thousands of old cases of expulsion. Meanwhile, level crossings of the southern border reached a historic hollow last month, and he obtained billions of additional funds for border security and extended application operations.
Its administration has also considerably increased the detention capacity, allocating $ 45 billion to enlarge ice facilities and build large -scale temporary camps, including a Installation of florid tents nicknamed “Alligator Alcatraz.”
Broader feeling about the decline
Nevertheless, a wider feeling cools. The latest Yougov / Economist survey shows that 69% of the Conservatives now say that the United States is on the right track, against 75% in May.
This occurs when Trump saw his approval ratings going to a national level of the second mandate.
Most recent Big Data survey The survey, conducted from July 12 to 14, which showed that 48% of voters approved Trump’s performance, while 49% disapproved.
The downward trend contrasts with earlier in the year. In May, the Big Data survey had Trump above the water, with 48% of responding respondents and 47% disapproaches. This figure was already a notable decrease compared to January, shortly after Trump’s return, when the sounder recorded one of his strongest notes: 56% approval and 37% disapproval, a net positive of 19 percentage points.
This wider decline is reflected in other major polls. Newsweek Approval Tracker currently places Trump at a net note at least 10, with 44% of approving Americans and 54% disapproving. This is one of its lowest net approval scores in recent weeks. The last Atlas Intel SurveyMade between July 13 and 18 among 1,935 respondents, painted a similar image: Trump’s approval rating fell to 44%, against 45%last month, while disapproval reached 55%. This results in a clear note by less than 11 – its worst demonstration of the term in this survey.
The strongest decline comes from the Yougov / CBS News survey made between July 16 and 18, which shows Trump approval at only 42%, with 58% disapproval – a net note less 16. This figure represents the lowest level of approval of the president registered in all national survey in his second mandate.
